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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.24+4.73vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+0.42vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.13-1.02vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.90-1.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.10vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.01-3.67vs Predicted
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9Cornell University-1.69-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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3.42U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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3.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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3.98University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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4.49George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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4.33Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.72Cornell University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 24.1% | 21.3% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 13.6% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Henry Allgeier | 20.1% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 19.0% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 14.7% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 6.1% | 0.2% |
| Langdon Wallace | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 49.2% | 7.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 13.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 0.5% |
| Nikhil Damji | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 88.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.