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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.13+3.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.54+1.52vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.01+1.35vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+1.61vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.87vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.90-2.44vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-4.32vs Predicted
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9Cornell University-1.69-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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3.52U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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4.35Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.61Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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4.56George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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8.72Cornell University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 14.0% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 16.5% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 2.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 20.0% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Langdon Wallace | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 17.1% | 48.4% | 7.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 11.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Jensen | 19.2% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Nikhil Damji | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 6.1% | 88.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.