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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.13+3.13vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.79vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.01+1.37vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+1.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.54-1.72vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.90-1.47vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-3.29vs Predicted
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8Cornell University-1.69+0.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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3.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.37Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.62Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.28U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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4.53George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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8.71Cornell University-1.690.0%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 13.5% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 14.5% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 22.1% | 21.3% | 1.7% |
| Henry Allgeier | 23.9% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Jensen | 17.5% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Nikhil Damji | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 6.5% | 87.6% |
| Langdon Wallace | 3.2% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 18.0% | 46.2% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.