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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.24+4.63vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.13+2.10vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.60vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+0.54vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-1.29vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01-1.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.54-3.62vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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3.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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4.54George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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4.29Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.38U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 25.3% | 20.7% |
| Cole Woodworth | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 17.9% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 7.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.6% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 5.9% |
| Henry Allgeier | 21.1% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Langdon Wallace | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 19.5% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.