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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.24+4.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+4.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+0.38vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.27vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90-0.47vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.13-1.94vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.33vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.01-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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3.38U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
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3.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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4.53George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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3.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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4.19Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 27.9% | 18.8% |
| Langdon Wallace | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 15.7% | 57.6% |
| Henry Allgeier | 21.1% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.6% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 7.4% |
| Cole Woodworth | 14.1% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 17.4% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 13.1% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.