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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+3.26vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.08vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.30+1.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.19+0.29vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.05vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.77vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.81-1.85vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.08-1.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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4.15Cornell University1.300.2%1st Place
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4.29U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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3.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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5.23St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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5.15Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.88Fordham University-0.080.1%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 14.7% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 12.4% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Pilar Cundey | 15.6% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Ava Farley | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Deana Fedulova | 17.1% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 8.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 7.5% |
| Anna Robertson | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 22.8% | 32.9% |
| Katherine Mason | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 20.1% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.