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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.30+3.17vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.19+2.53vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.08vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.16vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22-0.81vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.81-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41-3.10vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.08-1.13vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Cornell University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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4.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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5.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.19George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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6.87Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pilar Cundey | 14.3% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Ava Farley | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 15.6% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 16.7% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 22.1% | 33.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.