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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.90vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+3.50vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.19+1.40vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-0.04vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.81-0.01vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.08+0.85vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22-2.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.00vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.30-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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5.5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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3.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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4.99Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.85Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.28George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.11Cornell University1.300.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 17.1% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 10.7% |
| Ava Farley | 13.3% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 15.7% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.7% |
| Anna Robertson | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 21.7% | 32.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 37.2% |
| Pilar Cundey | 15.7% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.