Race 2A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sydney Bolger 34.6% 23.5% 16.7% 11.2% 6.6% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 10.8% 9.9% 12.8% 12.9% 13.2% 12.2% 10.6% 7.5% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Noel Ingalls 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 4.1% 5.2% 7.0% 10.6% 15.0% 23.7% 26.2%
Arielle DeLisser 5.6% 9.1% 8.5% 11.7% 9.8% 11.1% 11.9% 11.5% 9.4% 6.0% 3.3% 1.9% 0.2%
Corina Radtke 6.9% 7.3% 9.4% 9.9% 10.5% 11.4% 11.2% 11.6% 9.6% 5.6% 5.0% 1.1% 0.5%
Mackenzie Needham 2.1% 3.5% 4.0% 3.6% 4.9% 7.0% 9.0% 9.0% 12.6% 14.6% 14.0% 10.8% 4.9%
Julia Paxton 6.7% 5.2% 7.1% 7.9% 7.9% 11.3% 12.0% 12.7% 11.0% 8.6% 5.8% 3.2% 0.6%
Chantal Hearst 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 3.2% 2.7% 4.5% 5.5% 10.9% 15.8% 20.5% 28.9%
Kayla McComb 12.7% 12.8% 14.1% 12.4% 14.1% 10.5% 9.8% 6.2% 4.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucy Cobbs 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 4.2% 5.8% 9.8% 13.5% 22.1% 32.1%
Melissa Bermudez 2.7% 3.4% 3.6% 6.6% 7.2% 7.3% 8.1% 12.0% 13.5% 13.3% 12.1% 7.2% 3.0%
Mia Cooper 2.5% 4.5% 3.2% 4.8% 5.7% 7.5% 9.4% 9.9% 13.4% 13.8% 12.7% 9.0% 3.6%
Mary Hall 13.1% 16.9% 15.9% 13.9% 14.2% 9.9% 6.6% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.