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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.30+3.16vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+2.45vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.92vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.81+1.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+1.84vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.08+0.89vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.67vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.95vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.19-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Cornell University1.300.2%1st Place
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4.45George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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5.03Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.89Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.33St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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4.33U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pilar Cundey | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 11.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 17.5% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 36.2% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 34.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 7.9% |
| Deana Fedulova | 16.0% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Ava Farley | 13.8% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.