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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+3.32vs Predicted
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2Fordham University-0.08+5.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.19+1.41vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.81+1.04vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.15vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.30-2.89vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.92vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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7.08Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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5.04Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.85University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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4.11Cornell University1.300.2%1st Place
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4.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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5.27St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Anna Robertson | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 23.9% | 34.8% |
| Ava Farley | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 36.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 17.3% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Pilar Cundey | 15.7% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Deana Fedulova | 15.5% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 9.7% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.