← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.22+3.31vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy1.19+2.55vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.35vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-0.07vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University0.81+0.01vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.18vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University-0.08-0.09vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.30-3.86vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.31George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
4.55U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
-
5.35St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
-
3.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
-
5.01Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
-
3.82University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
-
6.91Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
4.14Cornell University1.300.1%1st Place
-
6.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 14.4% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Ava Farley | 10.5% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 9.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 16.5% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 8.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 17.2% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 22.5% | 32.7% |
| Pilar Cundey | 14.9% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 19.0% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.