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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+3.03vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.30+2.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.19+1.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+2.86vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.19vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22-1.82vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-1.46vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81-2.89vs Predicted
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9Fordham University-0.08-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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4.27Cornell University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.81University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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4.18George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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5.54St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.85Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deana Fedulova | 16.3% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Pilar Cundey | 11.2% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Ava Farley | 13.7% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 34.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 19.1% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Maisy Sperry | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 10.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 21.5% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.