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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University-0.08+5.87vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+2.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+4.01vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.300.00vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.19-1.73vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-1.43vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.13vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.81-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.44George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.0Cornell University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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4.27U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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5.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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3.87University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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5.05Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Robertson | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 23.1% | 32.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 10.7% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 38.1% |
| Pilar Cundey | 15.0% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 18.0% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Ava Farley | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Maisy Sperry | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 10.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 18.3% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.