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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.88vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+3.69vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+1.27vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.81+0.99vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.19-0.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.94vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-2.98vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.30-3.89vs Predicted
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9Fordham University-0.08-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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5.69St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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4.27George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.99Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Naval Academy1.190.2%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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4.11Cornell University1.300.2%1st Place
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6.86Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 17.7% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Maisy Sperry | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 12.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.5% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| Ava Farley | 15.3% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 22.5% | 33.6% |
| Deana Fedulova | 15.3% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Pilar Cundey | 16.1% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.