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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+4.50vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.30+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.90vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-0.08vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22-0.85vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.81-0.97vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.08-0.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.01vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.19-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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4.27Cornell University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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3.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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4.15George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
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5.03Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.93Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maisy Sperry | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 10.7% |
| Pilar Cundey | 11.9% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 17.4% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Deana Fedulova | 15.9% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 15.5% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 6.4% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 21.9% | 32.9% |
| Katherine Mason | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 37.3% |
| Ava Farley | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.