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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+3.04vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.81+3.34vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+1.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.19-1.78vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-1.44vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.08-1.15vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.30-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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5.34Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.3George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.22U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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6.85Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.1Cornell University1.300.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deana Fedulova | 16.1% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 14.5% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 17.5% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 19.9% | 34.8% |
| Ava Farley | 13.9% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Maisy Sperry | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 9.2% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 33.7% |
| Pilar Cundey | 15.5% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.