← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University0.81+4.15vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.22+2.43vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.30+1.13vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University-0.08+2.74vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy1.19-0.78vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-0.54vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-2.98vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.01vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania1.41-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.15Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
-
4.43George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
4.13Cornell University1.300.1%1st Place
-
6.74Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
4.22U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
-
5.46St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
-
4.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
-
6.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
3.86University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 7.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Pilar Cundey | 14.1% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Anna Robertson | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 31.9% |
| Ava Farley | 14.5% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Maisy Sperry | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 10.5% |
| Deana Fedulova | 15.6% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 20.3% | 37.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 18.4% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.