← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.22+3.25vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.07vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy1.19+1.35vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.30+0.01vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+1.81vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-2.03vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University-0.08-0.08vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University0.81-2.88vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.25George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
4.07University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
-
4.35U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
-
4.01Cornell University1.300.2%1st Place
-
6.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
3.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
-
6.92Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
5.12Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
-
5.51St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 14.6% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 12.9% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Ava Farley | 14.5% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Pilar Cundey | 16.7% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 34.5% |
| Deana Fedulova | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 22.1% | 33.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 8.8% |
| Maisy Sperry | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.