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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michelangelo Vecchio 12.5% 11.9% 11.2% 10.4% 11.9% 10.8% 10.4% 9.7% 6.6% 4.5%
Andy Yu 16.1% 15.1% 16.0% 14.9% 11.8% 8.8% 7.6% 5.5% 3.0% 1.2%
Tiare Sierra 9.3% 11.3% 9.2% 10.6% 10.5% 11.2% 10.3% 11.2% 9.7% 6.7%
Ryan McGauley 14.6% 14.1% 12.6% 12.7% 12.0% 10.6% 9.1% 7.3% 5.1% 1.8%
Laura Hamilton 16.5% 14.5% 14.9% 12.9% 11.3% 9.2% 8.6% 6.1% 4.2% 1.8%
Ted Lutton 4.5% 6.3% 5.7% 6.5% 8.1% 9.0% 10.8% 11.8% 15.0% 22.4%
Blake Vogel 6.6% 6.2% 6.5% 7.2% 8.2% 11.0% 9.3% 12.7% 14.1% 18.2%
Olin Guck 8.1% 8.2% 8.4% 9.5% 10.1% 11.9% 12.8% 10.3% 12.3% 8.5%
Lucia Loosbrock 7.1% 7.2% 9.8% 9.2% 9.0% 9.7% 10.5% 13.2% 13.7% 10.5%
William Wiegand 4.8% 5.1% 5.8% 6.0% 7.1% 7.6% 10.5% 12.2% 16.4% 24.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.