Race 3A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sydney Bolger 33.6% 24.2% 17.2% 10.3% 7.4% 3.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla McComb 11.3% 13.6% 15.0% 14.2% 12.0% 10.4% 9.5% 6.5% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 10.6% 10.9% 13.8% 11.2% 12.5% 12.4% 10.3% 8.4% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Melissa Bermudez 2.1% 3.1% 3.1% 6.8% 5.7% 7.4% 9.3% 10.6% 11.9% 15.5% 13.3% 8.1% 3.1%
Corina Radtke 6.7% 7.6% 9.2% 10.4% 10.2% 9.3% 11.6% 12.2% 10.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.7%
Arielle DeLisser 7.7% 8.0% 9.2% 9.5% 11.1% 12.4% 11.6% 10.2% 8.8% 7.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Chantal Hearst 1.6% 1.0% 1.6% 1.1% 2.3% 3.9% 3.4% 4.5% 7.2% 9.9% 14.9% 21.2% 27.4%
Lucy Cobbs 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 2.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.6% 6.6% 9.5% 13.6% 22.5% 31.4%
Mary Hall 14.9% 16.6% 13.7% 14.9% 13.1% 9.1% 8.3% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mia Cooper 3.1% 4.2% 3.7% 4.9% 6.4% 8.6% 8.3% 10.8% 11.8% 13.7% 12.0% 8.7% 3.8%
Julia Paxton 4.7% 5.9% 7.5% 9.5% 9.3% 11.7% 11.9% 10.8% 10.7% 8.5% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
Noel Ingalls 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 4.3% 5.0% 7.2% 9.8% 14.8% 21.3% 28.5%
Mackenzie Needham 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 3.9% 5.5% 6.5% 6.6% 11.2% 11.7% 13.1% 16.6% 13.1% 3.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.