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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.48+3.91vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+2.02vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.14+2.37vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.60+0.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.85-0.82vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.67+0.83vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.80-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.05-2.23vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-3.01vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.48-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Bowdoin College1.4812.5%1st Place
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4.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8016.1%1st Place
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5.37Boston University1.149.3%1st Place
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4.41Boston College1.6014.6%1st Place
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4.18Brown University1.8516.5%1st Place
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6.83Bates College0.674.5%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University0.806.6%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island1.058.1%1st Place
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5.99Northeastern University1.187.1%1st Place
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7.01Boston University0.484.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Michelangelo Vecchio | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
Andy Yu | 16.1% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
Tiare Sierra | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
Ryan McGauley | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
Laura Hamilton | 16.5% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
Ted Lutton | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 22.4% |
Blake Vogel | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 18.2% |
Olin Guck | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 8.5% |
Lucia Loosbrock | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.5% |
William Wiegand | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.