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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.30+3.13vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+2.46vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+2.57vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-0.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+1.82vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.19-2.68vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81-2.89vs Predicted
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9Fordham University-0.08-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Cornell University1.300.2%1st Place
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4.46George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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5.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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3.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.8University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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4.32U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.86Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pilar Cundey | 15.6% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 11.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| Maisy Sperry | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 10.5% |
| Deana Fedulova | 16.7% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 34.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 17.1% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Ava Farley | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 8.5% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 20.2% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.