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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.60+3.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+2.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.80+3.48vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+0.10vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+0.38vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.05-1.22vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48-3.09vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.48-2.09vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.67-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Boston College1.6014.9%1st Place
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4.21Brown University1.8516.3%1st Place
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6.48Tufts University0.806.7%1st Place
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4.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8017.0%1st Place
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5.38Boston University1.148.6%1st Place
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5.89Northeastern University1.187.8%1st Place
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5.78University of Rhode Island1.057.4%1st Place
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4.91Bowdoin College1.4811.2%1st Place
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6.91Boston University0.485.1%1st Place
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6.87Bates College0.674.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan McGauley | 14.9% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
Laura Hamilton | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
Blake Vogel | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 17.8% |
Andy Yu | 17.0% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
Tiare Sierra | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.5% |
Lucia Loosbrock | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 10.3% |
Olin Guck | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% |
Michelangelo Vecchio | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
William Wiegand | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 22.9% |
Ted Lutton | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.