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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan McGauley 14.9% 13.7% 13.5% 11.9% 11.1% 9.3% 9.8% 8.7% 4.2% 2.9%
Laura Hamilton 16.3% 15.2% 13.2% 12.6% 12.1% 10.9% 7.3% 6.5% 4.0% 1.9%
Blake Vogel 6.7% 5.9% 7.2% 7.4% 8.3% 8.6% 11.2% 12.7% 14.0% 17.8%
Andy Yu 17.0% 14.8% 14.7% 13.7% 10.8% 10.3% 8.0% 5.4% 3.4% 1.8%
Tiare Sierra 8.6% 10.6% 11.2% 10.8% 10.2% 10.3% 11.2% 10.7% 9.9% 6.5%
Lucia Loosbrock 7.8% 8.7% 8.6% 8.3% 9.8% 10.8% 11.1% 11.3% 13.2% 10.3%
Olin Guck 7.4% 8.1% 8.9% 10.3% 11.5% 10.5% 10.2% 12.1% 11.3% 9.5%
Michelangelo Vecchio 11.2% 12.1% 11.5% 11.3% 12.2% 11.5% 10.5% 8.8% 6.8% 4.2%
William Wiegand 5.1% 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 7.0% 9.0% 9.8% 12.2% 16.6% 22.9%
Ted Lutton 4.9% 5.4% 5.4% 7.6% 7.1% 8.5% 10.8% 11.7% 16.4% 22.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.