Race 4A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Corina Radtke 6.0% 6.0% 9.8% 10.3% 10.7% 10.7% 12.6% 11.7% 9.4% 7.2% 3.9% 1.5% 0.2%
Kayla McComb 10.9% 13.7% 14.9% 13.5% 12.9% 10.4% 10.7% 5.8% 4.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sydney Bolger 32.8% 23.9% 17.8% 11.3% 7.0% 4.6% 2.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackenzie Needham 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 3.4% 5.0% 6.9% 8.5% 10.8% 13.3% 13.7% 13.6% 11.2% 4.9%
Arielle DeLisser 6.6% 8.2% 9.5% 10.7% 10.8% 11.3% 12.0% 10.9% 8.3% 6.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.3%
Noel Ingalls 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 2.6% 3.7% 4.2% 4.3% 7.6% 9.6% 15.6% 22.2% 25.2%
Lauren Turner 12.4% 11.7% 11.1% 12.8% 12.9% 12.5% 8.8% 8.0% 5.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Lucy Cobbs 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 3.8% 5.8% 9.9% 13.9% 22.2% 31.1%
Melissa Bermudez 2.9% 3.1% 4.1% 5.5% 5.3% 7.9% 8.4% 10.7% 11.9% 14.0% 13.7% 8.7% 3.8%
Julia Paxton 5.5% 5.8% 6.9% 8.1% 9.2% 11.4% 10.2% 12.8% 10.4% 9.4% 5.9% 3.5% 0.9%
Mary Hall 15.8% 18.2% 14.6% 15.2% 12.5% 8.8% 6.5% 4.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Chantal Hearst 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 2.1% 3.2% 4.3% 8.0% 9.7% 14.2% 20.7% 30.7%
Mia Cooper 2.8% 3.3% 3.1% 4.6% 6.5% 6.8% 9.5% 12.0% 12.7% 14.8% 13.3% 7.7% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.