Race 1A

salt-pond-saturday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Max Hanson 10.1% 9.2% 9.7% 11.4% 10.8% 9.8% 11.1% 9.2% 9.2% 6.6% 2.6% 0.3%
Hayden McCready 4.2% 5.1% 6.5% 8.0% 7.7% 8.2% 8.8% 9.9% 13.4% 13.9% 11.9% 2.4%
Pierson Falk 13.2% 11.3% 12.0% 10.6% 12.3% 10.9% 9.8% 9.3% 4.8% 4.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Wells Connor 14.6% 17.9% 13.3% 13.7% 10.1% 9.9% 6.8% 6.7% 4.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Leonardo Burnham 17.1% 18.7% 15.4% 10.4% 10.6% 9.6% 6.7% 4.1% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Jett Lindelof 12.9% 11.7% 12.8% 10.8% 11.5% 10.1% 10.0% 8.0% 5.7% 4.6% 1.9% 0.0%
Tyler Winowiecki 3.3% 2.9% 2.1% 4.8% 4.7% 5.2% 5.1% 7.5% 9.8% 14.4% 28.0% 12.2%
Jaxon Hottinger 7.7% 7.8% 7.5% 7.8% 8.6% 10.2% 8.6% 10.8% 12.0% 10.5% 7.2% 1.3%
Noe Portelance 3.9% 4.1% 6.5% 6.6% 7.2% 8.5% 10.3% 9.6% 13.2% 13.1% 14.7% 2.3%
Marykate Hanus 8.1% 7.1% 8.6% 8.7% 9.3% 8.7% 11.2% 13.0% 9.0% 9.1% 5.8% 1.4%
Zach Earnshaw 4.4% 3.5% 5.1% 6.2% 5.9% 8.0% 9.6% 9.9% 11.4% 15.5% 15.6% 4.9%
Will Sugerman 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 4.0% 9.4% 75.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.