Race 2A

salt-pond-saturday

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Max Hanson 10.0% 9.3% 9.2% 10.3% 12.7% 10.4% 9.7% 10.3% 8.1% 5.7% 4.0% 0.3%
Pierson Falk 11.1% 14.6% 12.3% 11.6% 10.8% 9.6% 9.8% 8.5% 6.3% 3.3% 2.0% 0.1%
Wells Connor 16.5% 14.5% 14.9% 11.0% 11.0% 11.8% 9.4% 4.5% 3.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Jaxon Hottinger 5.6% 6.9% 8.0% 8.0% 10.7% 8.9% 11.0% 9.8% 11.8% 10.2% 7.4% 1.7%
Jett Lindelof 12.9% 11.8% 12.5% 12.0% 10.1% 10.3% 8.7% 6.8% 6.4% 5.6% 2.7% 0.2%
Hayden McCready 5.3% 5.0% 7.1% 5.7% 7.0% 7.9% 9.5% 12.9% 12.2% 13.9% 10.4% 3.1%
Marykate Hanus 8.3% 8.3% 7.8% 9.9% 9.0% 9.3% 9.6% 10.9% 11.3% 9.0% 4.5% 2.1%
Noe Portelance 5.2% 5.4% 5.6% 6.8% 6.5% 8.0% 7.9% 11.5% 11.3% 14.3% 13.4% 4.1%
Zach Earnshaw 4.2% 4.0% 5.0% 7.3% 7.1% 8.7% 10.1% 11.3% 12.3% 14.1% 13.5% 2.4%
Leonardo Burnham 17.7% 17.4% 14.8% 13.4% 10.4% 9.1% 7.1% 4.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.8% 2.0% 1.9% 3.4% 3.8% 4.6% 5.7% 6.8% 10.4% 16.2% 28.5% 13.9%
Will Sugerman 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 2.5% 4.1% 12.6% 72.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.