Race 3A

salt-pond-saturday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Wells Connor 16.3% 13.8% 12.1% 14.1% 11.6% 10.4% 9.5% 4.1% 4.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Marykate Hanus 6.4% 8.3% 8.9% 9.4% 8.6% 10.0% 9.5% 11.2% 12.1% 8.8% 5.7% 1.1%
Max Hanson 10.9% 9.0% 10.7% 9.9% 10.7% 11.4% 10.7% 10.6% 7.1% 5.8% 3.1% 0.1%
Pierson Falk 11.1% 13.8% 12.0% 12.9% 10.6% 10.5% 9.0% 7.5% 7.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.6%
Leonardo Burnham 17.9% 17.4% 14.5% 11.2% 11.5% 9.4% 6.5% 5.3% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Noe Portelance 4.6% 4.1% 7.0% 5.5% 5.6% 6.2% 9.3% 12.2% 12.8% 15.7% 12.7% 4.3%
Hayden McCready 6.1% 6.1% 6.3% 5.8% 8.0% 9.5% 7.9% 10.5% 12.9% 13.8% 10.0% 3.1%
Zach Earnshaw 5.1% 5.2% 5.5% 7.3% 6.6% 5.7% 9.7% 9.9% 12.1% 14.4% 14.2% 4.3%
Jaxon Hottinger 6.2% 7.0% 8.5% 9.4% 9.9% 9.9% 11.2% 11.8% 9.5% 9.1% 6.9% 0.6%
Jett Lindelof 12.4% 12.2% 11.9% 11.2% 11.2% 10.8% 10.4% 7.7% 6.1% 3.8% 2.1% 0.2%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.6% 2.5% 1.8% 2.6% 4.4% 4.9% 5.0% 6.8% 10.5% 15.3% 30.0% 13.6%
Will Sugerman 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 2.4% 2.3% 4.1% 12.7% 72.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.