Race 6A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Julia Paxton 5.0% 4.8% 6.8% 9.5% 9.8% 10.2% 12.4% 12.7% 10.8% 8.0% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8%
Arielle DeLisser 6.9% 7.5% 10.1% 9.8% 10.8% 12.4% 10.7% 11.3% 8.3% 7.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Mackenzie Needham 2.4% 2.1% 2.8% 4.5% 5.8% 6.9% 7.7% 10.2% 12.7% 14.3% 13.2% 12.3% 5.1%
Lauren Turner 9.0% 13.8% 12.6% 11.8% 14.0% 10.7% 10.0% 7.1% 6.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Corina Radtke 7.7% 7.4% 8.1% 12.0% 9.4% 12.1% 9.4% 12.8% 8.6% 6.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.1%
Sydney Bolger 34.7% 24.1% 17.3% 10.0% 6.8% 3.1% 3.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Hall 15.6% 15.9% 17.0% 14.0% 11.3% 8.8% 9.0% 5.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla McComb 11.8% 13.2% 13.9% 13.3% 13.7% 12.3% 9.6% 7.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 2.6% 4.1% 4.4% 4.3% 5.8% 7.5% 8.2% 10.7% 13.6% 14.0% 12.1% 8.9% 3.8%
Lucy Cobbs 0.7% 1.5% 1.2% 2.0% 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 3.9% 5.3% 10.0% 15.5% 20.0% 32.1%
Noel Ingalls 0.7% 1.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.8% 3.5% 4.6% 4.5% 8.0% 10.6% 17.3% 21.6% 22.8%
Mia Cooper 1.9% 3.7% 4.0% 5.2% 6.3% 7.5% 8.5% 10.4% 13.9% 13.5% 12.2% 9.1% 3.8%
Chantal Hearst 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 1.6% 2.2% 3.6% 3.6% 7.1% 10.1% 14.4% 21.4% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.