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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.59+4.67vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.20+4.73vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.15+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.80+1.03vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.28+1.39vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.82+3.39vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.05-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.62+0.91vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-1.01vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.20-2.22vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.78-6.06vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-2.220.00vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University-0.06-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Roger Williams University0.590.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Rhode Island0.200.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Rhode Island1.150.2%1st Place
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5.03University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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6.39University of New Hampshire0.280.1%1st Place
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9.39Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.41Connecticut College1.050.2%1st Place
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8.91University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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7.78McGill University-0.200.1%1st Place
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4.94Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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12.0Sacred Heart University-2.220.0%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Hanson | 9.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Jaxon Hottinger | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 16.0% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Pierson Falk | 13.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Marykate Hanus | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 23.1% | 11.6% |
| Wells Connor | 16.9% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 2.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 7.3% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 3.7% |
| Noe Portelance | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Jett Lindelof | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Will Sugerman | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 70.3% |
| Hayden McCready | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.