Race 1B

salt-pond-saturday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jacob Lentz 9.3% 12.5% 12.3% 16.0% 14.7% 13.5% 12.0% 6.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Finneas Coldreck 17.0% 17.0% 17.6% 14.3% 11.7% 10.8% 6.9% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophia Fuller 15.7% 15.9% 16.6% 14.9% 14.5% 10.8% 7.0% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Keegan Chatburn 30.9% 23.8% 17.7% 12.5% 8.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
James Frady 10.1% 10.0% 13.3% 11.6% 13.2% 14.8% 13.1% 9.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Rachel Weiss 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 1.7% 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 7.6% 13.4% 29.9% 39.7%
Carl Furhoff 3.3% 3.8% 3.1% 4.6% 7.1% 7.8% 12.7% 20.0% 22.3% 11.7% 3.6%
cole capizzo 4.8% 6.3% 7.3% 9.4% 11.2% 11.6% 16.3% 16.4% 12.2% 3.9% 0.6%
Harrison Nash 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 11.6% 13.1% 15.5% 15.7% 11.8% 6.5% 2.3% 0.1%
Conor Grew 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 3.4% 3.2% 5.2% 13.0% 25.5% 46.8%
Victoria Sikorjak 1.5% 1.5% 2.5% 2.8% 3.9% 5.5% 8.6% 14.9% 25.0% 24.7% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.