Race 2B

salt-pond-saturday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Finneas Coldreck 13.7% 17.5% 16.3% 16.1% 15.0% 11.2% 6.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Keegan Chatburn 33.4% 23.4% 17.8% 11.8% 7.6% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Frady 8.8% 8.7% 11.6% 12.7% 13.6% 15.4% 14.6% 9.9% 4.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Sophia Fuller 15.9% 15.8% 16.9% 17.0% 14.1% 10.1% 6.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Harrison Nash 6.9% 9.5% 9.4% 10.1% 13.3% 13.5% 15.3% 13.6% 6.1% 2.3% 0.0%
cole capizzo 4.0% 6.6% 6.9% 7.5% 9.5% 15.7% 15.3% 16.2% 12.0% 5.3% 1.0%
Jacob Lentz 11.3% 13.2% 14.2% 15.3% 14.1% 12.0% 10.0% 6.6% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Carl Furhoff 3.0% 2.4% 3.4% 5.1% 5.9% 8.4% 16.0% 19.0% 21.2% 13.0% 2.6%
Rachel Weiss 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 2.2% 1.5% 3.7% 6.8% 13.2% 28.2% 40.9%
Victoria Sikorjak 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 2.9% 3.7% 5.9% 7.9% 15.9% 26.9% 21.8% 9.9%
Conor Grew 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 2.4% 3.5% 5.4% 11.7% 28.2% 45.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.