Race 3B

salt-pond-saturday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Finneas Coldreck 13.4% 18.5% 15.0% 16.6% 13.3% 12.3% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Lentz 11.7% 12.1% 12.7% 14.8% 13.1% 14.7% 10.3% 6.9% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Sophia Fuller 15.5% 16.8% 16.2% 15.6% 14.2% 10.9% 7.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Keegan Chatburn 30.3% 22.8% 19.2% 13.7% 7.9% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
cole capizzo 5.2% 5.4% 7.6% 7.6% 10.3% 10.5% 20.2% 16.4% 11.6% 4.8% 0.4%
James Frady 9.2% 10.8% 12.2% 11.6% 13.9% 15.6% 12.8% 7.9% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Harrison Nash 9.2% 8.0% 10.3% 10.6% 14.6% 14.2% 14.3% 12.6% 4.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Carl Furhoff 2.7% 2.6% 3.8% 4.1% 6.7% 9.7% 12.9% 20.1% 20.7% 14.2% 2.5%
Victoria Sikorjak 1.6% 2.3% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.7% 6.7% 17.9% 25.4% 23.0% 11.4%
Conor Grew 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 1.3% 1.0% 2.6% 2.8% 5.3% 12.9% 21.6% 51.3%
Rachel Weiss 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 2.6% 3.4% 6.8% 15.4% 33.1% 33.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.