Race 4B

salt-pond-saturday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Keegan Chatburn 30.2% 22.9% 19.1% 14.2% 6.9% 5.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Frady 9.4% 9.5% 12.3% 12.0% 15.1% 15.7% 12.2% 8.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1%
cole capizzo 4.2% 5.6% 6.6% 7.0% 9.1% 14.0% 17.4% 18.0% 13.5% 4.1% 0.5%
Sophia Fuller 15.3% 15.5% 18.0% 16.5% 14.9% 8.9% 7.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Harrison Nash 7.4% 9.3% 9.2% 9.5% 13.9% 14.4% 16.1% 11.3% 6.5% 2.3% 0.1%
Jacob Lentz 10.4% 12.9% 11.7% 17.1% 13.8% 13.6% 10.7% 6.1% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Finneas Coldreck 18.1% 18.5% 15.5% 15.7% 11.9% 9.9% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Carl Furhoff 2.3% 2.7% 4.2% 3.8% 7.7% 9.2% 13.5% 21.2% 19.0% 13.3% 3.1%
Victoria Sikorjak 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 2.7% 4.6% 8.2% 16.3% 25.9% 22.4% 11.4%
Rachel Weiss 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 2.4% 2.3% 3.8% 7.0% 14.4% 29.6% 37.6%
Conor Grew 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 1.6% 2.4% 3.8% 4.8% 11.5% 26.7% 47.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.