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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.98+1.66vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.35+1.62vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.50+2.44vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.30-0.12vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-2.13+3.28vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.13vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island-0.08-3.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University-1.57-2.61vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island-2.99-1.52vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-3.48-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Connecticut College0.980.3%1st Place
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3.62Roger Williams University0.350.2%1st Place
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5.44Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Rhode Island0.300.1%1st Place
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8.28Salve Regina University-2.130.0%1st Place
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4.87University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Rhode Island-0.080.1%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University-1.570.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island-2.990.0%1st Place
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10.03Sacred Heart University-3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Chatburn | 29.7% | 25.0% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Fuller | 16.9% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Nash | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Finneas Coldreck | 14.5% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Sikorjak | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 25.0% | 24.9% | 9.1% |
| James Frady | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| cole capizzo | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Lentz | 11.6% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carl Furhoff | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 22.6% | 20.9% | 12.2% | 4.0% |
| Rachel Weiss | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 16.6% | 32.4% | 32.6% |
| Caige Kaessinger | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 11.7% | 23.2% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.