← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.06+8.83vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.87+4.40vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.30+5.78vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+6.00vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.05+0.58vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.25+2.78vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.77+3.82vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.50+3.84vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.43-1.05vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.59-2.44vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.10-1.47vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.63-0.27vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-4.89vs Predicted
-
14Yale University2.13-5.04vs Predicted
-
15Boston University1.60-3.51vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.22-2.89vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.09-7.40vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University1.69-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.83Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
-
6.4Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
8.78Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
-
10.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
-
5.58Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.78Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
10.82Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
-
11.84Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
-
7.95Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.56Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
-
9.53University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
-
11.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.630.0%1st Place
-
8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.96Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
-
11.49Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
13.11University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
9.6Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
-
10.94Tufts University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Robby Meek | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.8% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Gavin Hudson | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Chase Decker | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Richard Pokorny | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Carly Kieding | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Porter Bell | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 23.4% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Gus Macaulay | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.