Race 7A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Arielle DeLisser 7.2% 7.8% 8.5% 10.7% 9.7% 12.6% 11.1% 11.8% 9.7% 5.4% 4.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Noel Ingalls 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 2.5% 2.7% 4.0% 5.6% 7.2% 8.3% 16.5% 23.6% 24.6%
Julia Paxton 3.3% 6.2% 6.3% 8.1% 11.7% 9.5% 11.1% 12.1% 12.0% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 0.6%
Kayla McComb 12.2% 12.6% 15.5% 12.1% 12.0% 12.5% 8.9% 7.0% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Sydney Bolger 34.5% 24.2% 15.4% 13.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 10.6% 11.2% 13.0% 12.0% 13.7% 12.5% 9.7% 7.3% 4.9% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Mackenzie Needham 3.0% 3.1% 3.6% 5.5% 6.4% 4.9% 8.8% 8.8% 11.1% 15.7% 13.3% 10.2% 5.6%
Corina Radtke 6.2% 8.2% 9.3% 10.0% 7.9% 12.2% 12.7% 13.0% 8.4% 6.6% 4.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Lucy Cobbs 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.5% 2.4% 3.3% 3.3% 6.0% 8.4% 13.6% 22.9% 32.1%
Mary Hall 14.6% 17.5% 16.5% 11.8% 12.7% 9.9% 8.3% 4.0% 2.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 2.5% 3.2% 4.3% 6.0% 6.8% 8.4% 7.9% 11.0% 12.9% 15.4% 11.2% 5.8% 4.6%
Mia Cooper 3.1% 3.0% 3.3% 5.9% 6.0% 6.9% 9.3% 10.5% 13.1% 15.0% 11.4% 9.1% 3.4%
Chantal Hearst 0.8% 0.6% 1.5% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% 3.2% 4.7% 7.3% 9.4% 16.2% 22.5% 28.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.