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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+7.83vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.59+5.48vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+2.76vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.63+7.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+5.05vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+2.30vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.60+4.54vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.87-1.81vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10+0.39vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.50+2.25vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.69+0.27vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.06-2.02vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.09-3.73vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.25-5.57vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.22-2.06vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.77-5.12vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.43-8.80vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.13-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.76Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.630.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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8.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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11.54Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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12.25Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.27Tufts University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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12.94University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.04Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Chase Decker | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Blake Behrens | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Richard Pokorny | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% |
| Robby Meek | 11.6% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 15.2% |
| Gus Macaulay | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 21.2% |
| Gavin Hudson | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Carly Kieding | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.