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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+5.30vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+3.59vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+5.32vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.25+4.45vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.60+6.14vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+3.17vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.43+0.84vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.59-0.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+0.91vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.30-1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57+3.87vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.13-2.57vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.50-1.52vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.06-4.97vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.09-5.79vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.77-5.38vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.21-4.06vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.63-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.59Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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8.45Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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11.14Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.1Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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14.87University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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9.43Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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11.48Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.03Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.94Tufts University1.210.0%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.0% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Chase Decker | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 41.8% |
| Carly Kieding | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Gavin Hudson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Walter McFarland | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 16.2% |
| Richard Pokorny | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.