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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+6.30vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.23+10.05vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.13+9.37vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.21+3.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+4.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.21+0.88vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.64-1.84vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.72-3.18vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.36-2.55vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-5.33vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.75-1.99vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.89-0.15vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.80-4.85vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.60-4.73vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.74-6.15vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47-2.52vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.74-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.05Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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7.74Harvard University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.16Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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5.82Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.45Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.67Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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12.85Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University1.800.0%1st Place
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10.27Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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13.3Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Hurd | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 9.6% |
| Jacob Posner | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| William Kulas | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Pearse Dowd | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Lamm | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elle Sykes | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 15.6% |
| Connor McHugh | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Peter Judge | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 32.4% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.