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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.36+6.42vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+5.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.64+3.35vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.72+1.84vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.21+2.82vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.74+3.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.21+0.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.80+1.32vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.23+2.78vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-0.67vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.28vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.60-1.36vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.82-7.50vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.75-4.65vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.89-2.03vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47-1.51vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.74-3.37vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.13-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.35Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University1.800.0%1st Place
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11.78Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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10.64Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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5.5Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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12.97Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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14.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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13.63Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elle Sykes | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Lamm | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Posner | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Keeves | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Pearse Dowd | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Connor McHugh | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| William Hurd | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| William Kulas | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 15.6% |
| Peter Judge | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 32.6% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 21.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.