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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.38+6.38vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.36+5.36vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.23+8.98vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.75+5.56vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.74+4.65vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82-0.46vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.72-1.10vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.13+4.00vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47+5.37vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.16vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.80-1.46vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-2.53vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.21-5.33vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.78-1.03vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.64-8.86vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.21-8.09vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.60-6.58vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.74-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.36Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.98Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.54Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.9Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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12.0University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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14.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.54Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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12.97Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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6.14Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.91Harvard University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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13.33Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Elle Sykes | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| William Hurd | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Keeves | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% |
| Peter Judge | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 30.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Connor McHugh | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| William Kulas | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Pearse Dowd | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 16.8% |
| Tyler Lamm | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Posner | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.