Race 8A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Arielle DeLisser 6.8% 7.3% 9.4% 10.8% 10.5% 12.1% 12.0% 10.8% 8.0% 6.5% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Julia Paxton 4.7% 6.7% 7.3% 7.0% 9.7% 11.1% 11.9% 11.5% 11.7% 8.9% 5.7% 2.8% 1.0%
Sydney Bolger 33.2% 24.2% 16.7% 11.5% 6.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Hall 14.9% 17.0% 15.9% 15.2% 12.8% 8.0% 7.4% 4.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1%
Noel Ingalls 1.9% 0.9% 2.0% 1.8% 2.3% 2.3% 2.9% 6.6% 6.9% 9.6% 16.9% 21.2% 24.7%
Mackenzie Needham 2.1% 3.5% 3.5% 4.7% 5.6% 6.0% 8.2% 10.6% 10.1% 15.1% 14.9% 10.3% 5.4%
Kayla McComb 13.6% 12.7% 15.3% 12.8% 11.4% 12.7% 7.9% 5.8% 5.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 5.1% 8.7% 8.9% 8.6% 11.0% 11.9% 13.3% 11.3% 8.6% 7.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Lauren Turner 9.9% 11.4% 12.9% 12.4% 12.6% 12.1% 11.2% 7.1% 5.6% 3.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 3.7% 3.0% 3.3% 5.4% 7.4% 7.2% 8.0% 11.3% 12.9% 13.9% 11.2% 8.1% 4.6%
Lucy Cobbs 0.9% 1.1% 0.5% 1.9% 1.5% 3.1% 3.5% 4.7% 7.3% 9.4% 14.9% 22.2% 29.0%
Chantal Hearst 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 2.2% 2.1% 1.9% 2.7% 5.4% 6.6% 8.9% 14.3% 21.7% 31.4%
Mia Cooper 2.7% 2.5% 3.0% 5.7% 6.2% 7.5% 8.9% 9.6% 14.1% 14.4% 12.0% 10.2% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.