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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+8.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.36+5.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+6.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+4.94vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.78+8.13vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.75+2.64vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38-0.86vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.64-2.85vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.21-1.94vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.23+0.85vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.13+0.44vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.72-7.23vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.21-6.39vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.60-4.78vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.74-6.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47-2.55vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.74-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66Roger Williams University1.800.0%1st Place
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7.39Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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13.13Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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5.57Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.15Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University2.210.1%1st Place
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11.85Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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5.77Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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13.29Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Elle Sykes | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| William Kulas | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% |
| Carter Anderson | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 18.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Posner | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| William Hurd | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 9.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearse Dowd | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Peter Judge | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 30.2% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.