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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.23+2.46vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.26+0.70vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.14+2.23vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.69+0.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-0.59vs Predicted
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6American University-1.20-0.70vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-0.96-2.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46SUNY Maritime College-0.230.2%1st Place
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2.7Fordham University0.260.3%1st Place
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5.23SUNY Stony Brook-1.140.1%1st Place
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4.4Columbia University-0.690.1%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.1%1st Place
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5.3American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.94Villanova University-0.960.1%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lunati | 19.0% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Jonathan Wittick | 30.0% | 23.6% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 18.8% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 7.9% |
| Kevin Ryan | 10.4% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 7.6% |
| James Cottage | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 22.0% |
| Amelka Cichy | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 15.1% |
| Carson Totino | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.