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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+3.34vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.54vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.26-0.33vs Predicted
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4American University-1.20+1.34vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-0.96-0.08vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.69-1.68vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-1.14-1.73vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.54SUNY Maritime College-0.230.2%1st Place
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2.67Fordham University0.260.3%1st Place
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5.34American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.92Villanova University-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.32Columbia University-0.690.1%1st Place
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5.27SUNY Stony Brook-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ryan | 12.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 7.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 17.3% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Jonathan Wittick | 31.1% | 23.7% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| James Cottage | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 20.5% |
| Amelka Cichy | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 13.6% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 11.9% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 20.8% |
| Carson Totino | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.