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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+3.35vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39+2.63vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.26-1.29vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.14+0.23vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-0.96-1.12vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.69-2.57vs Predicted
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8American University-1.20-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.57SUNY Maritime College-0.230.2%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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2.71Fordham University0.260.3%1st Place
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5.23SUNY Stony Brook-1.140.1%1st Place
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4.88Villanova University-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.43Columbia University-0.690.1%1st Place
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5.2American University-1.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ryan | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 17.7% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Carson Totino | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 27.7% |
| Jonathan Wittick | 30.4% | 22.8% | 18.9% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 18.2% |
| Amelka Cichy | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 14.7% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.1% |
| James Cottage | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.