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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+3.35vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.55vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.69+1.38vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.26-1.30vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39+0.70vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.14-0.79vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-0.96-2.08vs Predicted
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8American University-1.20-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.55SUNY Maritime College-0.230.2%1st Place
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4.38Columbia University-0.690.1%1st Place
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2.7Fordham University0.260.3%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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5.21SUNY Stony Brook-1.140.1%1st Place
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4.92Villanova University-0.960.1%1st Place
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5.2American University-1.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ryan | 10.4% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 17.6% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% |
| Jonathan Wittick | 30.1% | 23.4% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Carson Totino | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 21.0% | 26.2% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 20.0% |
| Amelka Cichy | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 13.9% |
| James Cottage | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.