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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.23+2.46vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.26+0.72vs Predicted
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3American University-1.20+2.34vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39+1.66vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.69-0.59vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.14-0.80vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-0.96-2.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46SUNY Maritime College-0.230.2%1st Place
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2.72Fordham University0.260.3%1st Place
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5.34American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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4.41Columbia University-0.690.1%1st Place
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5.2SUNY Stony Brook-1.140.1%1st Place
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4.93Villanova University-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lunati | 19.3% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Jonathan Wittick | 29.4% | 24.4% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| James Cottage | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 19.8% |
| Carson Totino | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 27.1% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 7.8% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 19.9% |
| Amelka Cichy | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 14.6% |
| Kevin Ryan | 11.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.