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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+2.61vs Predicted
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2Villanova University-0.96+2.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39+1.84vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.14-0.54vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.69-2.29vs Predicted
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7American University-1.20-2.47vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.23-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.2%1st Place
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4.07Villanova University-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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4.46SUNY Stony Brook-1.140.1%1st Place
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3.71Columbia University-0.690.1%1st Place
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4.53American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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2.77SUNY Maritime College-0.230.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ryan | 18.2% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% |
| Amelka Cichy | 11.2% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 12.3% |
| Carson Totino | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 26.2% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 18.8% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 14.9% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% |
| James Cottage | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 21.7% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 28.9% | 21.3% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.