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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.23+1.90vs Predicted
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2Villanova University-0.96+2.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.39+0.96vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.69-1.26vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15+1.36vs Predicted
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7American University-1.20-2.38vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-4.21vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-1.14-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9SUNY Maritime College-0.230.3%1st Place
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4.22Villanova University-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.390.1%1st Place
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3.74Columbia University-0.690.2%1st Place
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7.36Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
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4.62American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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3.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.2%1st Place
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4.41SUNY Stony Brook-1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lunati | 25.7% | 22.9% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Amelka Cichy | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 3.2% |
| Carson Totino | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 19.8% | 22.1% | 8.0% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 16.1% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 11.2% | 74.7% |
| James Cottage | 10.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 5.0% |
| Kevin Ryan | 15.3% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 1.9% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.