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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.06+0.79vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-1.53+0.38vs Predicted
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4American University-0.66-1.64vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24-0.58vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-2.71-1.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.61-0.92vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-2.80-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79SUNY Maritime College-0.060.5%1st Place
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3.38Columbia University-1.530.1%1st Place
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2.36American University-0.660.3%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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4.97Villanova University-2.710.0%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.610.0%1st Place
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5.0SUNY Stony Brook-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barker | 50.8% | 28.7% | 13.6% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 10.8% | 17.0% | 27.5% | 22.8% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
| Miles White | 26.1% | 34.6% | 23.8% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Hughes | 4.4% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 23.4% | 24.3% | 18.1% | 7.9% |
| Emily Amspacher | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 25.5% | 17.1% |
| Sean Warwick | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 56.7% |
| Ella Musso | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 29.5% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.