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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.83+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.36+4.55vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.81-0.94vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.33-1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.11+1.22vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.31-0.99vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.27-0.44vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.28-1.72vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.98-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.40-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of Washington1.8327.7%1st Place
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4.07University of Washington1.0714.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Washington-0.362.4%1st Place
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3.06Western Washington University1.8123.1%1st Place
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3.91Western Washington University1.3314.8%1st Place
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7.22University of Oregon0.113.5%1st Place
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6.01Western Washington University0.315.2%1st Place
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7.56Oregon State University-0.272.6%1st Place
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7.28University of Washington-0.282.7%1st Place
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8.87University of Oregon-0.981.2%1st Place
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7.66University of Oregon-0.402.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 27.7% | 22.7% | 19.0% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 14.1% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 12.2% |
| Leif Hauge | 23.1% | 22.0% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 14.8% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 8.7% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 13.0% |
| Alice Meng | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.6% |
| Euseekers Williams | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 35.3% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.