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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+7.74vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.38+7.27vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.86+8.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+4.61vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.39+3.93vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.34+6.31vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29+1.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.26vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-1.03vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-0.01vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.90-0.52vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.65-5.26vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.71-6.70vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-5.41vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.90-4.80vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.10-6.65vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.78-10.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.27Harvard University3.380.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.61Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.93Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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13.31University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
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8.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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10.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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11.48Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.3Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.59Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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10.35Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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7.13College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Megan Magill | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 26.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.1% |
| Margaret Tautz | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Bethany Leonard | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.